Best MLB Prop Bets: Corner Painting Strategy For Skenes, Judge, King

James

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Post on May 20, 2025

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Best MLB Prop Bets: Corner Painting Strategy for Skenes, Judge, and King

Major League Baseball is a game of inches, and savvy bettors know that exploiting small advantages can lead to big wins. This week, we're focusing on a specific pitching and hitting strategy – "corner painting" – and how it impacts our prop bet selections for three standout players: Grayson Rodriguez, Aaron Judge, and Bobby Witt Jr. Let's dive into the data and explore some lucrative opportunities.

Understanding "Corner Painting"

"Corner painting" refers to a pitcher's ability to consistently locate pitches on the edges of the strike zone, inducing weak contact or swings and misses. For hitters, it’s about consistently making contact and finding gaps even with pitches on the corners. This isn't just about throwing strikes; it's about where those strikes are located. Pitchers who excel at this often have lower walk rates and higher strikeout totals, while hitters who excel at this can maintain high batting averages even with tough, outside pitches.

Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeout Prop Over/Under

Rodriguez, known for his electric stuff, has shown a developing ability to paint the corners. His increased command translates directly to more strikeouts. Check the specific over/under line for his strikeout prop – often found on major sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM – and consider a slight over if his opponent's batting lineup struggles against power pitching. Look for games against teams with a high strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Analyzing recent game logs is crucial here. A slight increase in his average strikeouts per game is a strong indicator.

Aaron Judge: Total Bases Prop

Judge's power is undeniable, but his ability to work counts and make contact even on pitches away from the plate is what makes him such a valuable player. He excels at hitting pitches on the outer half of the plate for extra bases. A total bases prop bet focusing on a higher number might be a smart play, particularly if he's facing a pitcher known for leaving pitches out over the plate. Remember to factor in the pitcher's handedness and Judge's historical performance against that type.

Bobby Witt Jr.: Hits Prop

Bobby Witt Jr. is another player showing more mature plate discipline. While known for power, his ability to hit to all fields could translate to more base hits in prop bets. If facing a pitcher who struggles with outside pitches, Witt Jr.’s ability to make contact and find gaps in the outfield makes this prop very interesting. Consider combining this with a detailed look at Witt Jr.’s spray charts for recent games to see his recent hitting tendencies.

Responsible Betting Practices

Remember, prop betting involves inherent risk. Always gamble responsibly, setting a budget beforehand and never chasing losses. These analyses are based on statistical trends and observable patterns; they are not guarantees of success.

Where to Find MLB Prop Bets

Major sportsbooks such as FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM offer a wide variety of MLB prop bets daily. Compare odds across different platforms to find the best value before placing your bets. [Link to reputable sports news site comparing odds]

Conclusion: Corner Painting and Prop Bet Success

By understanding the nuances of "corner painting," both on the mound and in the batter's box, you can gain a valuable edge when selecting MLB prop bets. Remember to do your research, analyze player statistics and recent game performances, and always bet responsibly. Good luck!